Inflation ( CCPI)1.5% (Oct 2023)
GDP-3.1% (2Q 2023)
Unemployment5.2% (2Q 2023)
3M T-Bill Rate15.29%
12M T-Bill Rate12.94%
2Y T-Bond Rate14.45%/ 14.50%
4Y T-Bond Rate14.70% / 14.80%
USD/LKR327/328
Reserves $3.56Bn (Oct 2023)
Cum. Trade Deficit $3,307 Mn (Sep 2023 cumulative)
Cum. Fiscal DeficitLKR 1,614 Bn (Sep 2023)

Sri Lanka is flattening the COVID-19 inflected curve soon but needs tight measure to continue

HealthApr 10, 2020
Sri Lanka is flattening the COVID-19 inflected curve soon but needs tight measure to continue
Only one person was found yesterday, inflected of COVID-19 in Sri Lanka but today none so far. As per the SIR model for forecasting the infected patients, Sri Lanka is closer to the peak which can be estimated as 243 in the 3rd week of April. But it seems to be essential to keep the tight measures until the end of April to see the confirm decline of the patients. Used 21 million population as the susceptible population and Stringency Index to calculate the value for R(0).

Disclaimer

Charts represents an assessment of the market environment as of the date indicated and it is subject to change; and is not intended to be a forecast of future events or a guarantee of future results. This information should not be relied upon by the reader as research or investment advice regarding the funds or any issuer or security in particular. The strategies discussed are strictly for illustrative and educational purposes and should not be construed as a recommendation to purchase or sell, or an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security. There is no guarantee that any strategies discussed will be effective.

The information presented does not take into consideration commissions, tax implications, or other transactions costs, which may significantly affect the economic consequences of a given strategy or investment decision. This document contains general information only and does not take into account an individual’s financial circumstances. An assessment should be made as to whether the information is appropriate in individual circumstances and consideration should be given to talking to a financial advisor before making an investment decisions.